On August 4th, Nissan launched the e-Bio Fuel-Cell biofuel cell concept car, becoming the world's first solid oxide fuel cell vehicle that can generate electricity from pure bio-ethanol without any pollution. The car is based on the e-NV200 MPV, with a 24 kWh battery and a 600km cruising range comparable to the current fuel car. It can also be operated with an ethanol mixed solution, which is safer and more convenient to use, and can also be stored and managed using equipment from existing gas stations.
It is understood that China's "Energy Technology Revolution Innovation Action Plan (2016-2030)", "Energy Technology Revolution Key Innovation Action Roadmap" and "Made in China 2025" and other plans have mentioned vigorous development of fuel cell technology, in the next 5 years Fuel cell vehicle subsidies do not fall back, highlighting the country's strategic determination.
Soochow Securities (601555) pointed out that fuel cell vehicles are currently in the early stage of industrialization and are expected to enter a period of rapid explosion in 2020. At present, the technology of fuel cells tends to be mature, and the main obstacles to the popularity of fuel cell vehicles come from: the cost of fuel cell systems is relatively high and the supporting infrastructure is insufficient. Considering technological advancement and scale effect improvement, the cost of fuel cell systems will drop rapidly. It is estimated that the cost of fuel cell systems will drop by 60% by 2020, from the current bicycle of 36,000 US dollars to about 15,000 US dollars. At the same time, major countries around the world have developed long-term plans for fuel cell development, and the number of hydrogen refueling stations is expected to grow rapidly. It is expected that fuel cell vehicles will enter a rapid development point in 2020. Global sales will reach 50,000/1 million units in 2020/2030, and the market scale is expected to exceed 200 billion yuan.
Soochow Securities believes that fuel cells represent the ultimate direction of future new energy vehicles, and are still in the early stage of industrialization. The development stage is similar to the new energy vehicles in 2010, and continues to pay attention to industry-themed investment opportunities. Suggested attention: 1) Core parts companies with certain competitive advantages: Furui Te (300228), Jingcheng (600860), Snowman (002639), Hanzhong Seiki (002158), Guiyan Platinum (600459) 2) Companies participating in fuel cell systems, such as Nandu Power (300068), Jiangsu Sunshine (600220), Tongji Technology (600846), Great Wall Electric (600192), etc.; 3) Leading companies with R&D advantages: SAIC (600104), Yutong Bus (600066), Foton Motor (600166), etc.
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